【英语翻译LONDON(Reuters)-2008willbeslightlycoolerthanrecentyearsgloballybutwillstillbeamongthetop10warmestyearsonrecordsince1850andshouldnotbeseenasasignglobalwarmingwasonthewane,Britishforecasterssaid.The】
英语翻译
LONDON(Reuters)-2008willbeslightlycoolerthanrecentyearsgloballybutwillstillbeamongthetop10warmestyearsonrecordsince1850andshouldnotbeseenasasignglobalwarmingwasonthewane,Britishforecasterssaid.
TheMetOfficeandexpertsattheUniversityofEastAngliaonThursdaysaidglobalaveragetemperaturesthisyearwouldbe0.37ofadegreeCelsiusabovethelong-term1961-1990averageof14degreesandbethecoolestsince2000.
TheysaidtheforecasttookintoaccounttheannualPacificOceanLaNinaweatherphenomenonwhichwasexpectedtobeparticularlystrongthisyearandwhichwouldlimitthewarmingtrend.
Italsotookaccountofrisingatmosphericconcentrationsofso-calledgreenhousegases,solarvariationsandnaturalchangesintheoceancurrents.
"Thefactthat2008isforecasttobecoolerthananyofthelastsevenyearsdoesnotmeanthatglobalwarminghasgoneaway,"saidPhilJones,directorofclimateresearchatUEA.
"Whatmattersistheunderlyingrateofwarming-theperiod2001-2007withanaverageof0.44degreeCabovethe1961-90averagewas0.21degreeCwarmerthancorrespondingvaluesfortheperiod1991-2000."
LaNinaanditsoppositeElNinoocean-atmospherephenomenonhavestronginfluencesonglobaltemperatures.LaNinareducestheseasurfacetemperaturebyaround0.5degreesCelsiuswhileElNinohastheoppositeeffect.
"PhenomenasuchasElNinoandLaNinahaveasignificantinfluenceonglobalsurfacetemperatureandthecurrentstrongLaNinawillacttolimittemperaturesin2008,"saidChrisFollandfromtheMetOfficeHadleyCentre.
"Howevermeantemperatureisstillexpectedtobesignificantlywarmerthanin2000,whenasimilarstrengthLaNinapeggedtemperaturesto0.24degreeCabovethe1961-90average.SharplyrenewedwarmingislikelyonceLaNinadeclines,"headded.
ThecurrentLaNinaisnowthestrongestsince1999-2000.ThelagbetweenLaNinaandthefullglobalsurfacetemperatureresponsemeansthatthecoolingeffectisexpectedtobealittlegreaterin2008thanitwasduring2007.
TheWorldMeteorologicalOrganisationsaidlastmonththerewereindicationsthatthe10yearsfrom1998to2007werethehottestdecadeonre