【Cowboyorspaceman?Adilemmaforachildren'sparty,perhaps.Butalsoaquestionforeconomists,arguedKennethBoulding,aBritisheconomist,inanessaypublishedin1966.Wehaverunoureconomies,hewarned,likecowboysontheopengr】
Cowboyorspaceman?Adilemmaforachildren'sparty,perhaps.Butalsoaquestionforeconomists,arguedKennethBoulding,aBritisheconomist,inanessaypublishedin1966.Wehaverunoureconomies,hewarned,likecowboysontheopengrassland:takingandusingtheworld'sresources,confidentthatmoreliesoverthehorizon.ButtheEarthislessagrasslandthanaspaceship-aclosedsystem,aloneinspace,carryinglimitedsupplies.Weneed,saidBoulding,aneconomicsthattakesseriouslytheideaofenvironmentallimits.Inthehalfcenturysincehisessay,anewmovementhasrespondedtohischallenge."Ecologicaleconomists",astheycallthemselves,wanttorevolutioniseitsaimsandassumptions.Whatdotheysay-andwilltheirideasachievelift-off?
Toitsadvocators,ecologicaleconomicsisneitherecologynoreconomics,butamixofboth.Theirstartingpointistorecognisethatthehumaneconomyispartofthenaturalworld.Ourenvironment,theynote,isbothasourceofresourcesandasinkforwastes.Butitisignoredinconventionaltextbooks,whereneatdiagramstracetheflowsbetweenfirms,householdsandthegovernmentasthoughnaturedidnotexist.Thatisamistake,sayecologicaleconomists.
Therearetwowaysoureconomiescangrow,ecologicaleconomistspointout:throughtechnologicalchange,orthroughmoreintensiveuseofresources.Onlytheformer,theysay,isworthhaving.TheyaresuspiciousofGDP,acrudemeasurewhichdoesnottakeaccountofresourceexhaustion,unpaidwork,andcountlessotherfactors.Initsplacetheyadvocatemoreholistic(全面的)approaches,suchastheGenuineProgressIndicator(GPI),acompositeindex(复合指标)thatincludesthingslikethecostofpollution,deforestationandcaraccidents.WhileGDPhaskeptgrowing,globalGPIperpersonpeakedin1978:bydestroyingourenvironmentwearemakingourselvespoorer,notricher.Thesolution,saysHermanDaly,aformerWorldBankeconomistandeco-guru,isa"steady-state"economy,wheretheuseofmaterialsandenergyisheldconstant.
Mainstreameconomistsareunimpressed.TheGPI,theypointout,isasubjectivemeasure.AndtalkoflimitstogrowthhashadabadpresssincethedaysofThomasMalthus,agloomy18thcenturyclericwhopredicted,wrongly,thato