"Therearemanywaysofbeingsmartthataren'tsmartlikeus."ThesearethewordsofPatrickWinston,aleadingvoiceinthefieldofartificialintelligence.Althoughhisideaissimple,itssignificancehasbeenlostonmostpeople
"Therearemanywaysofbeingsmartthataren'tsmartlikeus."ThesearethewordsofPatrickWinston,aleadingvoiceinthefieldofartificialintelligence.Althoughhisideaissimple,itssignificancehasbeenlostonmostpeoplethinkingaboutthefutureofwork.Yetthisis thefeatureofAlthatoughttopreoccupyusthemost.
Fromthe1950stothe1980s.itwasgenerallythoughtthatthebestwaytobuildsystemscapableofperformingtaskstothelevelofhumanexpertsorhigherwastocopythewaythatexpertsworked.Buttherewasaproblem:humanexpertsoftenstruggledtoexplainhowtheyperformedmanytasks.Chess-playingwasagoodexample.Whenaskedtoexplainhowtheyplayedchesswell,somegrandmastersappealedto"intuition"(真爱),othersto"experience".Manysaidtheydidnotreallyknowatall.Howcouldresearchersbuildachess-playingsystemtobeatagrandmasterifthebestplayersthemselvescouldnotexplainhow theyweresogood?
Aturningpointcamein1997.DeepBlue,IBM'ssupercomputer,beatGarryKasparov,theihenworldchesschampion,inasix-gamematch.Whatwasmostremarkablewashowthesystemdidit.DeepBluedidnotshareMrKasparov's"intuition"or"experience".Itwonbymeansofabsoluteprocessingpowerandmassivedatastorageability.
Considerthelegalworld.DanielMartinKatz,alawprofessor,hasdesignedasystemtopredictthevotingbehaviouroftheUSSupremeCourt.Itcanperformaswellasmostspecialists,butitdoesnotmirrorthejudgementofahumanbeing.InsteaditdrawsondatathatcapturesixdecadesofCourtbehaviour.
Weseesimiliardevelopmentsinotherpartsoflife.Surely,allthesepointtoafuturethatisverydifferentfromtheonemostexpertsarepredicting.Itisoftensaidthattherearemanytasksthatwillalwaysrequirehumanbeingstoperformbecausemachinescannot"think","reason"or"feel"likehumanbeings.Butthisistofailtograspthattomorrow'ssystemswillhandlemanytasksnotbycopyingusbutbyworkinginentirelydifferent,unhumanways.Thesetoftasksreservedparticularlyforhumanbeingsislikelytobemuchsmallerthanmanyexpect.
46.Theexampleofchess-playingmainlyshowsthat___.