Inthe1990s,whenanareaofBrazilianrainforestthesizeofBelgiumwascutdowneveryyear,Brazilwastheworld'senvironmentalvillain(反派角色)andtheAmazonianjungletheimageofeverythingthatwasgoingwrongingreenplaces.N
Inthe1990s,whenanareaofBrazilianrainforestthesizeofBelgiumwascutdowneveryyear,Brazilwastheworld'senvironmentalvillain(反派角色) andtheAmazonianjungletheimageofeverythingthatwasgoingwrongingreenplaces.Now,theAmazonoughttobetheimageofwhatisgoingright.Governmentfiguresshowthatdeforestationfellby70% intheBrazilianAmazonregionduringthepastdecade.Ifclearanceshadcontinuedattheirratein2005,anextra3.2billiontonnesofcarbondioxidewouldhavebeenputintotheatmosphere.Thatisanamountequaltoayear'semissionsfromtheEuropeanUnion.Arguably,then,Brazilisnowtheworldleaderinaddressingclimatechange.
Buthowdiditbreaktheviciouscycle(恶性循环)?Theanswer,accordingtoapaperisthattherewasno silverbullet butinsteadathree-stageprocessinwhichbans,bettergovernanceinfrontierareasandconsumerpressureoncompaniesworked.
Thefirststageranfromthemid-1990sto2004.Thiswaswhenthegovernmentputitseffortsintobansandrestrictions.TheBrazilianForestCodesaidthat,oneveryfarmintheAmazon,80% ofthelandhadtobesetasideasaforestreserve.Asthestudyobserves,thissharewassohighthatthecodecouldnotbefollowed-orenforced.Thiswastheperiodoftheworstdeforestation.Soybeanpriceswerehighandtherewasavastexpansionofsoybeanfarmingonthesouth-easternborderoftherainforest.
Duringthesecondstage,whichranfrom2005to2009,thegovernmenttriedtoboostitsabilitytopolicetheAmazon.Brazil'spresidentmadestoppingdeforestationapriority,whichresultedinbetterco-operationbetweendifferentbitsofthegovernment.Theareainwhichfarmingwasbannedwasincreasedfromasixthtonearlyhalfoftheforest.
Thethirdstage,whichbeganin2009,wasatestofwhetherasystemofrestrictionscouldsurviveassoybeanexpansioncontinued.Thegovernmentshifteditsfocusfromfarmstocounties (eachstatehasscoresofthese).Farmersinthe36countieswiththeworstdeforestationrateswerebannedfromgettingcheapcredituntilthoseratesfell.
Byanystandards,Brazil'sAmazonpolicyhasbeenasuccess,madethemoreremarkablebecauseitreliedonrestrictionsratherthanrewards,whichmighthavebeenexpectedtohaveworkedbetter